{"id":8395,"date":"2026-08-03T20:47:26","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T03:47:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/?p=8395"},"modified":"2026-08-03T20:47:26","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T03:47:26","slug":"analistas-preven-que-economia-mexicana-crecera-apenas-2-en-2028","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/?p=8395","title":{"rendered":"Analistas prev\u00e9n que econom\u00eda mexicana crecer\u00e1 apenas 2% en 2028"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Los analistas del sector privado elevaron de 1.10 a 1.20 por ciento su pron\u00f3stico mediano de crecimiento para la econom\u00eda mexicana en 2026, de acuerdo con la encuesta de julio publicada por el Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para 2027, la expectativa se mantuvo en 1.80 por ciento, mientras que la estimaci\u00f3n para 2028 aument\u00f3 de 1.90 a 2 por ciento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pese al ajuste, las previsiones muestran un crecimiento limitado en el mediano plazo. Para el periodo comprendido entre 2027 y 2036, la expectativa promedio disminuy\u00f3 de 1.85 a 1.83 por ciento anual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tambi\u00e9n aument\u00f3 el riesgo de una contracci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica durante el tercer trimestre de 2026. La probabilidad media de que el PIB real registre una ca\u00edda frente al trimestre anterior pas\u00f3 de 21.53 a 28.21 por ciento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En materia de precios, los especialistas redujeron de 4.20 a 4 por ciento su pron\u00f3stico mediano de inflaci\u00f3n general para el cierre de 2026. La previsi\u00f3n para 2027 permaneci\u00f3 en 3.84 por ciento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La encuesta fue realizada entre 42 grupos nacionales y extranjeros de an\u00e1lisis y consultor\u00eda econ\u00f3mica, con respuestas recibidas entre el 19 y el 27 de julio.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Especialistas consultados por Banxico mejoraron ligeramente sus expectativas para los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os, aunque mantienen una perspectiva de bajo crecimiento.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":8396,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6458],"tags":[6699,203,311,275,309,6701,6700,345,324,6556,202],"class_list":["post-8395","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","tag-aumento","tag-bajacalifornia","tag-economia","tag-estadosunidos","tag-finanzas","tag-inflacion-2","tag-intereses","tag-mexicali","tag-mexico-2","tag-pib","tag-tijuana"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8395","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8395"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8395\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8397,"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8395\/revisions\/8397"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8395"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8395"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newspepper.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8395"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}